FIFA World Cuplow confidence
England vs
Argentina
29%Home win
26%Draw
45%Away win
Argentina are narrow favourites (45%, under half) — England 29%, draw 26%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — England 1.5 · Argentina 1.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 65%Under 35%
Both teams to score
Yes 67%No 33%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.