Eredivisie
AZ vs
NEC
45%Home win
25%Draw
30%Away win
AZ are narrow favourites (45%, under half) — draw 25%, NEC 30%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — AZ 1.8 · NEC 1.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 64%Under 36%
Both teams to score
Yes 66%No 34%
AZ 1–3 NECJan 2026
NEC 2–1 AZSep 2025
NEC 3–3 AZMar 2025
AZ 1–0 NECAug 2024