Premier League
Leeds United vs
Newcastle
40%Home win
26%Draw
34%Away win
Leeds United are narrow favourites (40%, under half) — draw 26%, Newcastle 34%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Leeds United 1.6 · Newcastle 1.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 60%Under 40%
Both teams to score
Yes 63%No 37%
Newcastle 4–3 Leeds UnitedJan 2026
Leeds United 0–0 NewcastleAug 2025