Premier League

Chelsea vs
Aston Villa

47%Home win

25%Draw

28%Away win

Chelsea are narrow favourites (47%, under half) — draw 25%, Aston Villa 28%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Chelsea 1.8 · Aston Villa 1.4

Over / Under 2.5

Over 62%Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%No 36%

Aston Villa 1–4 ChelseaMar 2026

Chelsea 1–2 Aston VillaDec 2025

Aston Villa 2–1 ChelseaFeb 2025

Chelsea 3–0 Aston VillaDec 2024