Premier League
Newcastle vs
Man City
30%Home win
25%Draw
44%Away win
Man City are narrow favourites (44%, under half) — Newcastle 30%, draw 25%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Newcastle 1.4 · Man City 1.8
Over / Under 2.5
Over 63%Under 37%
Both teams to score
Yes 65%No 35%
Man City 2–1 NewcastleFeb 2026
Newcastle 2–1 Man CityNov 2025
Man City 4–0 NewcastleFeb 2025
Newcastle 1–1 Man CitySep 2024