Premier League
Chelsea vs
Newcastle
46%Home win
25%Draw
30%Away win
Chelsea are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — draw 25%, Newcastle 30%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Chelsea 1.9 · Newcastle 1.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 65%Under 35%
Both teams to score
Yes 66%No 34%
Chelsea 0–1 NewcastleMar 2026
Newcastle 2–2 ChelseaDec 2025
Newcastle 2–0 ChelseaMay 2025
Chelsea 2–1 NewcastleOct 2024