Premier League
Too close to call — Man City 34%, draw 28%, Arsenal 38%. No side is clearly ahead, so we don't lean on a winner.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Man City 1.3 · Arsenal 1.4
Over / Under 2.5
Over 52%Under 48%
Both teams to score
Yes 57%No 43%
Man City 2–1 ArsenalApr 2026
Arsenal 1–1 Man CitySep 2025
Arsenal 5–1 Man CityFeb 2025
Man City 2–2 ArsenalSep 2024