Championship

Derby County vs
Swansea

46%Home win

27%Draw

27%Away win

Derby County are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — draw 27%, Swansea 27%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Derby County 1.5 · Swansea 1.1

Over / Under 2.5

Over 46%Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%No 49%

Derby County 2–0 SwanseaFeb 2026

Swansea 1–2 Derby CountyNov 2025

Swansea 1–0 Derby CountyApr 2025

Derby County 1–2 SwanseaNov 2024