Bundesliga
Dortmund vs
Bayern
31%Home win
22%Draw
47%Away win
Bayern are narrow favourites (47%, under half) — Dortmund 31%, draw 22%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Dortmund 1.7 · Bayern 2.1
Over / Under 2.5
Over 73%Under 27%
Both teams to score
Yes 72%No 28%
Dortmund 2–3 BayernFeb 2026
Bayern 2–1 DortmundOct 2025
Bayern 2–2 DortmundApr 2025
Dortmund 1–1 BayernNov 2024
Bayern 0–2 DortmundMar 2024
Dortmund 0–4 BayernNov 2023