Primeira Liga
We lean Sporting CP (87%) — draw 9%, Alverca 4%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Sporting CP 3.2 · Alverca 0.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 72%Under 28%
Both teams to score
Yes 41%No 59%
Alverca 1–4 Sporting CPMar 2026
Sporting CP 2–0 AlvercaOct 2025